CONTRARY TO THE TWO DOMINANT,
ALBEIT DIAMETRICALLY OPPOSED, TYPES of forecasts that were both highly
fashionable a few years ago, it appears more and more clearly that the
headaches related to the EU-NATO conundrum are here to stay. Those who, in view
of the initial difficulties of establishing mutually acceptable relations between
the two organizations, were talking about teething problems likely to be replaced,
in due course, by a harmonious insertion of the new-born European Security and
Defence Policy (ESDP) into the Atlantic system, were just as wrong as those who
saw in it yet another occasion to toll the death knell of the North Atlantic
Alliance. As it is, neither of the two scenarios seems close to becoming a
reality any time soon.
The reason is very simple:
transatlantic relations have arrived at a stalemate point. A crucial, though
precarious, moment of balance, characterized by the fact that the United States
is no longer able to prevent Europe from gradually moving towards more independence,
while the Europeans are not yet ready to fully achieve their emancipation. In
EU-NATO terms, this equation is reflected, on the one hand, by the US incapacity
to block the launching of European defence within the frameworks of an organization
of which they are not part (the EU), and on the other, the attachment of Europeans
to the upholding of an organization (NATO) that institutionalizes their subjection
to American pre-eminence in the security field.
This article proposes to
focus on relations between the EU and NATO, by highlighting the political
interests and strategic designs which determine progress or, most of the time,
the blockages and pseudo-progress one can witness there. Indeed, two problems, closely
related to one another, come out as the bottom-line from any analysis, whether
it bears on the European integration or NATO, or a fortiori on the relations
between the two. The first one is linked to the nature and general evolution of
the transatlantic relationship, the second to the modalities of various
integration mechanisms. For the European countries, when it comes to their
relations with the United States, these two problems appear in limpid terms:
dependence versus autonomy, and integration versus sovereignty. The key aim of
this article is to raise and to decipher these stakes such as they appear in
the different fields (institutional contacts, cooperation on the ground, planning,
capabilities, assigned missions and procurement) of the relationship between
NATO and the EU. In order to better put the subject into its context, the first
section is devoted to the relations between the Atlantic Alliance and European
defence before the latter was taken charge of in the EU framework, notably with
the launching of ESDP in June 1999. After the enumeration of the major issues
around which all initiatives and debates are articulated as from this date, the
article will finish with an outline of what could be deemed the only scenario
which, on both a strategically realistic and democratically legitimate basis and
under radically different conditions from those experimented until today, could
guarantee a lasting preservation of the transatlantic partnership.
Brief survey of the past
By way of introduction, some
defining elements in the historical context of the current EU-NATO relations
will be underlined. However, before this is possible, it is important to make a
clear distinction between structural continuities and the circumstantial
variables. Seen under this angle, it is clear that neither the election (and re-election)
of George W. Bush, nor the terrorist attacks of 11 September 2001, nor the war
against Iraq, constitute a breaking point in transatlantic relations. Their
impact is of another nature. These events did nothing but reinforce and/or
accelerate major tendencies which had already been at work for a very long
number of years. But especially, as a result of their broad mediatisation, they
brought them into daylight, lifting the lid on the opaque universe of the
taboos and ‘non-dits’ (things unvoiced and unspoken of) which has been, for decades,
that of the interactions between Europe and America. Finally, as for the two moments
which mark the only genuine ruptures in the transatlantic relationship throughout
the last sixty years – namely the end of the bipolar era and the launching of a
European defence policy within the frameworks of the EU – even at these times
it proved to be impossible to completely neglect the weight of continuity. If
the first fracture (end of the “cold war”) spectacularly transformed the
external and internal conditions of Euro-American relations, it was necessary
to wait for ten years before the Europeans started, in particular with the
launch of ESDP, to draw the first tentative conclusions.
Pre-history of EU-NATO relations
Since the end of the Second
World War, each decade has seen at least one (failed) attempt from the European
side of the Atlantic Alliance to develop a more or less distinct profile in
security matters. For example, George Bidault and Ernest Bevin in vain pondered,
in 1947, a Western Union in which ‘Western Europe should be independent both of
the United States and the Soviet Union’ (Howorth and Keeler 2004: 6). The Six
in vain wanted to think about a so-called European Defence Community
(Communauté européenne de défense or CED) in the 1950’s,
and the Fouchet Plans of the 1960’s proposed in vain an intergovernmental union
with its own defence policy.
Similarly, those who had meanwhile become the Nine,
launched in vain their European Political Cooperation (EPC), with the idea that
‘the close ties between the United States and Europe of the Nine do not
conflict with the determination of the Nine to establish themselves as a
distinct and original entity’ (EC 1973).
Then in the 1980’s, Europeans also in vain resuscitated the Western European
Union, by stating that ‘the construction of an integrated Europe will remain
incomplete as long as it does not include security and defence’ (WEU 1987).
Before 1989, any aspiration of this kind was, from the start, condemned to fail.
During the ‘cold war’ era, it was simply unthinkable to treat defence issues within
a strictly European framework. Europe’s subordination to American leadership
was regarded as self-evident, and the rule was thus crystal-clear: when speaking
about Europe, one cannot even think ‘defence’ and when speaking about defence,
one cannot even think ‘European’.
To illustrate this, one
episode which arguably is the most frequently quoted and distorted, can be
mentioned – the failure of the Treaty establishing the European Defence
Community. This treaty which was rejected in 1954 by the French National Assembly
is like a concentrate of the constraints which governed the relationship between
‘European’ defence and the Atlantic system throughout the bipolar period, at the
same time as a precious display of the correlations between supranational integration
and European dependence. To summarize these stakes, it is enough to recall the
objection made by General de Gaulle, who fiercely opposed the treaty. To him,
‘the CED consists in gathering European forces to collectively place them at
the disposal of the United States’.
Indeed, parallel to
provisions of a supranational character applying to the Six (majority voting,
common budget, training and armament programmes etc.), article 18 of the treaty
stipulates that NATO’s supreme commander (i.e. the commander-in-chief of the US
armed forces in Europe) ‘is entitled to make sure that the European defence
forces are organized, equipped, trained and prepared in a satisfactory way’.
For that, they ‘receive technical directives’ from the Atlantic Alliance. ‘As
soon as they are ready to be employed, they are assigned to the supreme
commander’ of NATO, who uses them to his own discretion, except when there is
unanimous opposition of the Six (article 77) – and this in peacetime. In
wartime, the US General automatically exerts ‘the full powers and
responsibilities of supreme commander’. It is not surprising that De Gaulle
believed that ‘this army called “European”’, à la CED, would have been nothing
else but ‘one of the instruments of American strategy’. The mere fact that the
CED project is still remembered and referred to as the pre-figuration of what
could have been a ‘European army’ explains a lot about the confusions and/or
manipulations around the label European.
Some constant features
According to Lawrence S.
Kaplan (2004: 130-131) in transatlantic relations ‘”plus ça change, plus c’est
la même chose” (the more things change, the more they stay the same)’. Kaplan
goes on to suggest that ‘almost from the inception of the alliance, Europeans
have sought to get out from under American domination and chafed at their inability
to free themselves’. Actually, the various attempts at “emancipation” were condemned
to fail, as far as they remained within the logic of an original paradox: Europeans
hoped to build an independent profile in security and defence matters without
touching anything in the transatlantic relationship, based on their dependence
in this field and on the imbalance thus created. This leads us to elicit two
persistent aspects of the last half-century of Euro-American relations, (1) a
succession of psychodramas and (2) a structural American interest (as opposed
to the circumstantial European one) perpetuating this situation of imbalance.
With regard to the constant
tensions between the two sides of the Atlantic, the remarks of Harold Brown,
President Carter’s former Secretary of Defense, summarise rather appropriately
the general ambiance: ‘They tell me the Alliance is in disarray. When has it ever
been in array?’ (Heisbourg 1987). In terms of obvious disagreements between
allies, we are, indeed, spoilt for choice. The crisis of Suez in 1956, the
British trauma following the abandonment of the Skybolt project by the USA in 1962,
the withdrawal of France from the integrated structures of NATO in 1966, the
dissensions around the Vietnam war, the ‘détente’ policy vis-à-vis the Soviet
Union, or president Reagan’s ‘Star Wars’ initiative are but the tip of the
iceberg (see Kaplan 2004; Hendrickson 2007). The crises, omnipresent, were
overcome only because quite palpable interests worked in this direction. On the
European side, these were, in the wake of the Second World War, objective
interests, which have become, with time, subjective interests stemming from a mix
of institutionalised de-responsibilisation, deeply anchored reflexes of
subordination, and the lack of political will to free themselves from
dependence links that are unworthy and prejudicial but, in the short run, often
very comfortable.
On the US side, the approach
is much more ‘Cartesian’. Keeping the European continent under American control
is a geo-strategic interest that largely transcends the circumstances of
certain moments in time (see Layne 2006). It is, in addition, spiced up by the
compensations Europeans agree to pay in exchange for what is customarily called
the ‘protective umbrella’. In these two respects, some official US documents
speak for themselves. In 1992, the Pentagon’s confidential Defense Planning
Guidance, whose extracts were diffused in the press and stirred up a mini-storm
among European allies, contended that America needs to ‘discourage’ the
advanced industrial nations ‘from challenging our leadership or seeking to
overturn the established political and economic order’, as well as to ‘maintain
the mechanisms for deterring potential competitors from even aspiring to a
larger regional or global role’ (Gellman 1992). One year after, the Bottom-up
Review of the new Clinton administration explained how those who are thus kept
under control are even expected to pay for being kept under control: ‘Our
allies must be sensitive to the linkages between a sustained U.S. commitment to
their security on the one hand, and their actions in such areas as trade policy,
technology transfer, and participation in multinational security operations on
the other’.
Proto-history of EU-NATO relations
Under these conditions, one
understands more easily the importance of the rupture brought about by the
collapse of the bipolar system, depriving US domination in Europe of its
apparent justification or raison d'être. By the same token, one also
understands more easily the nervousness of US officials at the time. The
administrations of George H. Bush and William (Bill) Clinton ceaselessly
repeated that Washington’s European commitment went well beyond the Soviet
threat, and that the United States remains a European power. Nonetheless, the
circumstances of the exercise of this power had been changed, and irreversibly
so.
With the end of the Cold War,
one observes simultaneously an intensification of the inherent tensions of the
transatlantic relations, and the disappearance of the massive external threat
which was formerly essential to mask them and/or contain them at an acceptable
level. The United States, suddenly finding itself to be the only one standing in
the arena, was most of all concerned with perpetuating its position of force.
On the other hand, Europeans, engaged for decades in a gradual process of
integration in which it became more and more difficult to neglect security and
geopolitical aspects, found themselves confronted with a sudden and spectacular
extension of their theoretical margin of manoeuvre. This resulted in a
structural opposition, which would be manifest above all in the heated
controversies on the issue of European defence.
Consequently, ‘as the United
States perceived the increased momentum towards European agreement on a defence
identity early in 1991, a number of alarm bells were rung by US officials’
(Sloan 2000). In the long series of more or less muffled warnings, one should
note ‘a closely-held memorandum sent to European governments by Under-Secretary
of State for International Security Affairs Reginald Bartholomew in February 1991’,
which ‘according to published reports…expressed concern that the United States might
be “marginalised” if greater European cohesion in defence led to the creation
of an internal caucus within NATO’.
And, at this moment, there was only question of a possible European caucus inside NATO...
Be as it may, the new Treaty
on European Union was a masterpiece of the so-called ‘constructive’ ambiguity.
It maintained European defence in uncertainty between a European and an
Atlantic rationale, by establishing the bases of a ‘common foreign and security
policy including the eventual framing of a common defence policy, which might in
time lead to a common defence’, but by taking care to define a double role for
the WEU: ‘the military arm’ of the European Union was in the same time ‘the
European pillar’ of the Atlantic Alliance. This floating of the WEU between the
two institutions was meant to delay a delicate face-to-face with the most
sensitive issues. In particular the one related to knowing whether European
defence was going to be implemented within an autonomous European framework
(EU) or in a logic of subordination, under American control and leadership
(NATO). In order to tip the scales in favour of the second option, the United
States was forced to give successive concessions. They had to bow to the idea
of a European ‘caucus’ inside the Alliance, with the recognition of the ESDI,
based on the principle of ‘separable but not separate’ European capacities (see
Kaplan 2004: 109-128; Howorth 2000). However, as it turned out, it was but a
short reprieve.
Apart from the structural
determinants, three major factors were combined during the 1990’s to lead the
Europeans, largely despite themselves, in a European direction. The Balkan
conflicts brought a clear demonstration, if ever needed, of the disadvantages
of being at the mercy of a third party, even if it is a friend and ally. The
AFSOUTH episode (American refusal to cede even one regional NATO command to a
European) was revealing of American will to perpetuate their undivided control,
and it confronted the Europeans, once again, to the realities of their junior
partner status. Finally, the hasty and profound reorganisation of the US
defence industry landscape added to all this the fear of a pure and simple
absorption of the European defence technological and industrial base. It is not
by chance that the new EU treaty, signed in 1997, finally started to outline the
path towards the solution.
It spoke about ‘progressive’ instead of an ‘eventual framing of a defence
policy’ which, furthermore, ‘will be supported, as Member States consider
appropriate, by cooperation between them in the field of armaments’. Even more
importantly, it introduced the idea of the ‘possibility of the integration of
the WEU into the Union, should the European Council so decide’. To the general
surprise, it was a thing done, hardly more than a month after the entry into
force of the Amsterdam Treaty.
The rupture
The breakthrough occurred in
December 1998, with the Franco-British agreement of Saint-Malo,
and was officialised within the framework of the Fifteen at the June 1999 summit
of the EU Heads of State and Government.
Thanks to a spectacular British reversal (London lifted the veto which it
opposed throughout the Amsterdam negotiations) the question of European defence
would have, from now on, to be tackled on radically new bases. The former NATO
dogma was to be replaced by an EU-NATO cohabitation. The WEU’s relevant
functions were to be integrated into the EU. The Alliance’s dead-born ESDI had
to cede the place to the EU’s new security and defence policy (ESDP).
The importance of these
changes can hardly be overestimated. In the words of Richard Hatfield, Policy
Director at the UK Ministry of Defence, the removal of the British veto ‘let the
genie out of the bottle’.
This it did, despite the fact that, in the new constellation, the protagonists
wanted to pursue their own respective agendas, which remained as antagonistic
as before. For Great Britain, the key was to keep the Atlantic Alliance alive, notably
with an improvement of European capabilities likely to interest the Americans, even
if one needs, for this purpose, to accept that a European defence policy be launched
within the EU. For France, on the other hand, it was a question of taking the first
decisive step towards Europe’s emancipation, even if this came with the price
of making some necessary gestures designed to reassure Washington (see Howorth
2005).
The extent of the rupture was
reflected in the delay the Americans took to fully realize what was happening.
Officials and diplomats on the other side of the Atlantic persisted during
months, sometimes even years, to confuse European security and defence “identity”
and “policy” (see Albright and Cohen 2000). Given that the first one had been conceived
within NATO in a logic of maintaining US control, and precisely in order to avoid
the second being ever launched, the jury was out on whether the confusion was due
to deliberate arrogance, wishful thinking or mere ignorance of developments on
the old continent. Be as it may, certainly not everybody missed the point. As
Peter W. Rodman (1999) observed as early as November 1999 at a congressional
hearing: “This EU effort to construct a separate European defense identity comes
three years after NATO adapted its own procedures to recognize and promote a
European Security and Defense Identity within the Alliance framework. The new
EU procedure, in contrast (at least in some Europeans’ minds), will enable
Europe to dispense with the Americans, “if it wishes”. That seems to be,
indeed, its whole point.” The future Assistant Secretary of Defense for
International Security Affairs
could not have been more right.
Major issues
Instead of going through the
period since the launching of the ESDP in a chronological order, this article
adopts a thematic approach because the various subjects of controversy which,
after 1999, had marked various moments of EU-NATO relations do still remain, in
one way or another, a potential source of tensions. Indeed, none of the issues
in question has found a lasting solution and so long as the fundamental conditions
of the transatlantic relationship do not change, it is unlikely that a lasting solution
will be found. Given the limitations of length, each area is to be presented
very briefly, with the emphasis placed on the central contradictions governing
its evolution.
Main actors
Henry Kissinger’s famous
question ‘If I want to find out what Europe thinks, whose telephone number do I
call?’ summarises perfectly the (slightly condescending) stereotype that sees
the fundamental difference between America and Europe in the distinction
between a unified and homogeneous US power, as opposed to European fragmentation.
One should, however, nuance this truism. On the one hand, those who know Washington
well also know that the rivalries, turf battles, blame games, and diverse
pressures result in a complex and opaque universe, the study of which shows a strange
familiarity with the Kremlinology of the Soviet era. On the other hand, the European
fragmentation is not a deficiency per se. As Christopher Patten, former EU Commissioner
for External Relations put it, ‘What matters most is not whether there are several
telephone numbers but whether there is a similar response or message from whoever
is on the line’ (Patten 2005: 159). It is on this point that one observes a
marked difference between the two sides of the Atlantic as soon as it comes to the
essential questions related to the very foundations of the Euro-American
rapports de force. Here, as a response to Washington’s consequent line,
followed with determination and steadiness for sixty years, the only European
answer is the diametrically opposed visions of EU member states, most of them
being unable to come to terms with the concept of power and/or that of
autonomy.
From Washington’s part, the
most natural attitude vis-à-vis any ambition towards a genuine European
independence is to oppose it. Obviously, it is much more comfortable to have,
as allies, interlocutors with no real bargaining power and no real alternative.
Hence the usual motto: the United States expects from Europe ‘complementarity
with, but not autonomy from, America’ (Brzezinski 2004: 106). NATO remains one
of the best instruments to achieve this, which explains the efforts deployed by
Washington to preferably prevent, or at least to lay down strict conditions
for, the launching of European defence (see Howorth 2007: 136-146). It was,
indeed, the sense of Madelaine Albright’s famous 3Ds criteria right after
Saint-Malo: ‘no decoupling, no duplication, no discrimination’. In other words,
European decision-making should not be unhooked from a broader Alliance
decision-making, ESDP should not duplicate resources and assets which already
exist in the Alliance, and ESDP should not discriminate between European
members of NATO according to their membership or not in the European Union. The
three were, of course, in obvious opposition with the inherent logic of a
European defence. The fact remains that the typical ‘arguments’ (i.e. accusations
of anti-Americanism and friendly warnings against the waste of resources), regularly
called upon to initially avert or, if it fails, to contain within precise
boundaries any inclination towards European autonomy, are employed today to
guide the evolution of ESDP towards a model as close as possible to the
original 3Ds.
However, besides the
politically unacceptable character, for Europe, of these US designs, America’s
behaviour with regard to the Alliance complicates day after day the task of those
in Europe who oppose the idea of autonomy. Indeed, Washington’s attachment to the
preservation of NATO (as the instrument of US influence and control in Europe)
is hardly coupled with actual American gestures attesting their commitment to
this same NATO. Be it the (very) low level of US participation in NATO
operations on the ground, the non-observance by America itself of NATO
standards and norms, or the US preference for more flexible ad hoc coalitions,
rather than the constraints of the Alliance, the result is the same outcry of
despair in (Euro-)Atlanticist circles: ‘Look, I am all for NATO, but if the
Americans are not, what am I to do?’
In addition, the little sensitivity of the Bush administration to the
well-established transatlantic face-saving games, has exposed even more clearly
both the scale and the downsides of European subordination.
Not being able here to
explore the details of the EU the Member States’ individual attitudes,
only one recent conclusion drawn by Jolyon Howorth (2007: 160) is evoked: ‘Almost
all EU member states, whatever their initial point of departure in relation to the
complex issue of relations between NATO and ESDP, tend recently to have shifted
somewhat in their institutional preferences. The shifts mainly involve slight moves
reflecting waning (but by no means expiring) enthusiasm for NATO and growing
(but by no means overwhelming) enthusiasm for ESDP.’
But, above all, it is to be
stressed that these shifts are far from modifying the basic context, which is
that of reluctance, or even outright hostility of the large majority of the EU
Member States vis-à-vis the idea of a genuine emancipation of Europe. This
internal opposition comes from naive pacifism and/or servile Atlanticism. Two
equally irresponsible and ultimately fatal attitudes, both a testimony to the
European elites’ chronic inability to grasp the fact that (1) refusal of power
leads to powerlessness and (2) refusal of independence leads to dependence.
Powerlessness and dependence means no credibility, therefore no negotiating
position whatsoever on any issue of significance, be it the course of world
events, the development of the transatlantic dialogue or the mere defence of
European interests (see Vincze 2006).
In practical terms, this
fundamental intra-European division has several major consequences. Firstly,
regarding the Alliance; the proponents of European autonomy need NATO, at least
temporarily and even in its current asymmetrical shape, to ensure the
mobilisation of the majority of the EU governments with regard to favouring the
development of European assets. It is, in a sense, considered as a useful
framework for an upgrade by stealth of European capabilities.
Secondly, with regard to
ESDP; decision-making at 27, on the basis of the lowest common denominator
inevitably leads to a diluted defence policy. Even though the project to set up
a certain kind of European military capability is no longer in question, it is
its very heart which, for the time being, is lacking (nuclear deterrence,
explicit mandate for territorial defence, military space policy and related
common programmes), and its essential conclusions which still remain to be
drawn (for instance, making the safeguarding of the European technological and
industrial base a political obligation, via the institution of a ‘European
preference’).
Thirdly, on the course of
European integration in general; in these circumstances, practically each ‘step
ahead’ in the integration of the 27 is like an additional fastener on a straitjacket.
Without a radical change of direction, based namely on a general awakening to
the notion of sovereignty and the stakes involved, any push towards ‘communautarization’
would do nothing but lock Europe even more in a definitive position of
dependence. As for the solution, it has been floated for ages. According to the
new French Minister of Defence, ‘European defence cannot be realized with
twentyseven countries. It will be constituted on the basis of a core group of
states manifesting the will to embark on this process, and we will find in this
core the countries engaged in the European construction for the longest period
of time’.
Hierarchy and division of labour
One of the most heated
debates of EU-NATO relations has been articulated, from the very beginning,
around the concept of non-decoupling, which, in the US reading, should mean
that NATO decides first to respond or not to a particular crisis situation.
Whereas some Europeans would not find a priori anything wrong with such a
formal sequencing, for others it is politically unacceptable, insofar as it
would enclose European defence in a subcontractor role. The controversies
revolve around the established formula used in ESDP documents: ‘where NATO as a
whole is not engaged’. In reality, however useful they were in order to
overcome initial opposition, these few words will always remain subject to
divergent interpretations. As a NATO Assembly report noted in 2005: ‘The US takes
the view that [this formula] gives NATO the first right to consider a military operation.
The EU could undertake operations only after ‘NATO as a whole’ has decided not
to be engaged. The EU, on the other hand, has not recognised that right for
NATO’ (Minniti 2005).
These ‘misunderstandings’
were most manifest during the discussions, in 2005, on how to respond to the
African Union’s request for help in Darfur, when the US administration ‘argued
that NATO should take the lead and the EU should stay out’ (Keohane 2006). In the
end, the two organisations ended up conducting two parallel operations. But already
at the first EU-only military mission (Operation Artemis in the Democratic Republic
of the Congo, in June 2003), the thorny issue of hierarchy gave rise to
diverging accounts: ‘EU statements assert that NATO was regularly ‘informed’ of
EU intentions in Bunia. NATO officials counter that ‘informing’ them after the
fact does not equal “consultations”’ (Michel 2004: 91). Lord Robertson, for his
part, preferred to underline that ‘NATO did not want to participate…’.
Be as it may, not only does
the problem remain unsolved (the EU Parliament’s recent note on EU-NATO
relations talks of ‘lingering controversy’ over the question of ‘sequencing’
(Cornish 2006: 11-12), but it is even bound to take on new forms. For instance,
it remains unclear which organisation would have priority in using doublehatted
forces (designated both for the EU and NATO) to address an emerging security challenge.
In any case, the official texts do not explicitly codify any kind of sequencing
or hierarchy between NATO and the EU. As France is always keen to point out,
neither to NATO’s nor to the EU’s advantage: EU-NATO cooperation is ‘fully
respecting each organization’s decision-making autonomy. So there is no right
of first denial, on either side’.
The issue of hierarchy is
closely linked to that of the so-called division of labour. An allegedly clear
picture of this latter is reflected in early EU documents, such as the landmark
Cologne Presidency Conclusions that see NATO as ‘the foundation of the collective
defence of its members’ and the EU concentrating on Petersberg-type crisis management
tasks.
However, there are, and have been from the outset, several problems with this
tempting but overly simplistic idea. On the EU side, apart from the fact that
the higher end of the Petersberg missions is a grey area, responsibility for collective
defence, in some form or another, is less and less easy to be kept away from ESDP.
On NATO’s side the collective defence guarantee has never been a very convincing
one. US refusal to commit to anything resembling an automatic defence of European
allies led to a carefully crafted text in the Washington Treaty, in which the famous
pledge (Article 5) leaves individual member states free to fashion their
responseto an attack according to their respective national interests (Kaplan
2004: 2-5).
Characteristically, Article 5
tends to be deformed nowadays into an argument for raising European troops to
shoulder US forces engaged in external operations, and lifting the national
caveats placed on their use under US/NATO command. This shift in the interpretation
of ‘solidarity’ is in line with the general evolution of the Alliance, depicted
by Howorth (2003: 15) as ‘an organisation which is transforming itself from one
whose original purpose was to deliver US engagement in the cause of European
security into one whose new purpose is to deliver European engagement in the
cause of US global strategy’.
That is how, right from the
beginning of the 1990’s, NATO turned to crisis management missions, complying
with the famous US warning ‘out of area or out of business’. Today, a new
direction has been fixed (by the Americans, of course). It is time to break out
of the yoke imposed by the basically military nature of the Alliance and head,
without further delay, towards civilian dimensions. Namely the ones they pick
and choose as being of particular interest. NATO’s Secretary General was rather
clear in this respect: ‘In the age of globalisation, virtually any societal
problem can quickly escalate into a security challenge. So it is hardly
surprising that pundits are constantly calling on NATO to go global, and add
every new emerging challenge to its already crowded agenda. In some cases they
are right’.
Parallel to the
multiplication and expansion of the overlaps between NATO and EU competence
areas, numerous ideas were put forward to delineate the two organisations, on
either a functional or geographical basis. Whereas the proposals to establish
some kind of ‘division of the world’ between the EU (in charge of Africa for
example) and NATO (more interested in Asia) are of a doubtful connotation and
had but very little resonance, those that would give the ‘high-end’ missions to
NATO and the ‘low-end’ (in the mud) operations to the EU seem (slightly) more
popular, but just as unrealistic.
First, such codification of
the respective tasks is unacceptable from the European point of view. It is,
for one thing, reminiscent of a long-standing unease within the Alliance over
the distribution of roles between US and European forces. As the historian
Kaplan (2004: 6) explains, already during the development of the first
strategic concept, in 1949, ‘the allies were discomfited by the recognition
that they would serve as cannon fodder in the event of a Soviet attack.
American airmen in the skies above the battle would be less subject to
casualties than the European troops on the ground below. Echoes of dissent over
this division of military labor could be found a half century later in Kosovo and
Afghanistan’. Also, attempts to define a clear functional division of NATO and
EU missions hide, in a not very subtle way, the willingness to confine ESDP to
civilian crisis management (especially policing and reconstruction) tasks. This
could be construed as somewhat absurd knowing that for General Sir Rupert Smith
(former Deputy SACEUR) for instance, ‘Europe is the best weapon to win both war
and peace’ (Smith 2005).
Even more importantly, any
formal division of labour is unimaginable for the simple reason that both
organisations are determined not to give up any competence segment. No wonder
that NATO’s Deputy Assistant Secretary General disagrees openly with those who
‘say the best way to avoid any clashes or competition between NATO and the EU would
be sort of to divide up the world into zones’, and thinks that ‘there is
nothing to stop either organization being involved anywhere in the world, so we
should not have artificial geographic divisions’. To those who ‘say there
should be a functional division of labour, that NATO would do the hard security
missions and the EU the soft security missions’, Mr. Shea’s answer is that ‘we
shouldn't try to sort of put organizations into compartments’.
Indeed, it is more than clear that both organisations are adamant on keeping
all options open, and hence consider any formal division of labour politically unacceptable.
Forums of consultation
Usually, commentators like to
note that with 32 countries being represented altogether in the 26-member NATO
and the 27-member European Union, relations between the two organisations are to
a large extent, relations between the same set of countries. If it is to
highlight the alleged nonsense of the difficulties in inter-institutional
dialogue, the remark can be misleading, insofar as it is precisely this
remaining ‘small’ difference between the two membership lists that explains the
scope of the difficulties. Difficulties that, at first glance, seem to be of a
technical nature and related to the non-EU member NATO country Turkey (see
Howorth 2007: 167-170), but which are but a disguise for the real difficulties,
this time of a politico-strategic character and linked to the relationship between
Europe and America.
As from the starting point of
1999, it is the United States who had established the requirement of
non-discrimination against European members of NATO outside the EU, as part of
the 3D-conditionality for ESDP. Encouraged by this US support, Ankara (and with
it, although in a less vehement way, the other European non-EU NATO members) insisted,
taking pretext of their Alliance membership, on exerting a considerable influence
in the new decision-making structures of ESDP. Behind this, the real question was,
once again, that of the NATO’s primacy and the EU’s subordination to it.
However, whereas the disputes delayed the launching of the operational phase of
European defence (suspended, for political reasons, to an EU-NATO agreement
alternately blocked by Turkey and Greece), at the same time they highlighted
the potential for serious blackmail, and thus paradoxically provided an
incentive to the EU to move towards autonomy from NATO.
Today, after the EU
enlargement in 2004, the roles are in a sense reversed, since the problems are
linked now to non-NATO member EU countries. But the basic conundrum remains the
same. On the surface, we find again a Turkish veto: Ankara refuses to allow sensitive
information to be exchanged with the EU as a whole, and Cyprus and Malta in particular,
at joint meetings (they being neither members of the Alliance, nor participants
in Partnership for Peace which would allow some intelligence sharing). For its
part, Cyprus, adamant on preserving its status as an equal member of the EU,
has prevented the rest of the EU from engaging in broader discussions with
NATO. This technical stumbling block (which is, of course, alimented by Turkish
grievances vis-à-vis a not-so-welcoming EU and the unresolved status of the
Cyprus issue) created a stalemate. The agenda of formal meetings between the
two institutions are limited to issues relating to ‘Berlin Plus’ operations
(those being carried out by the EU with recourse to NATO assets), with
non-participating Cyprus and Malta being subsequently informed. As a result,
though formal EU-NATO meetings are held at various levels, their agenda is as narrow
as possible, and though informal meetings have been set up to circumvent the formal
constraints, these are without an official agenda and without any information
to parliaments (see Hofmann and Reynolds 2007; Shimkus 2007).
Rather tellingly, the EU and
NATO paint two very different pictures on the state of their relationship. EU
Presidency reports on ESDP give a factual, overall positive assessment of cooperation
between the two organisations, whereas NATO officials have been incessantly
calling publicly for a deeper and extended dialogue with the EU suggesting that
the problem runs much deeper than the sole Turkey issue. In fact, however
serious the political motivations are behind Ankara’s technical objections,
they are nowhere near to the structural-strategic considerations for which the
Cyprus deadlock is a mere smokescreen. As Norway’s NATO delegation put it:
‘some EU member states prefer to limit cooperation in order to preserve the
EU’s character and decision making autonomy and to fend off US influence on
European policy’.
In the words of Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, ‘some deliberately want to keep NATO and
the EU at a distance from one another. For this school of thought, a closer
relationship between NATO and the EU means excessive influence for the USA.
Perhaps they are afraid that the ESDP is still and too new and vulnerable for a
partnership with NATO’.
Notwithstanding the last
remark, with its strange ambiance of a kindergarten beauty contest, concerns
about undue American influence are, indeed, at the heart of the matter. But when
‘French officials sometimes say that close EU-NATO relations could lead to the
US gaining excessive influence over EU foreign and defence policy’ or that ‘the
US may use NATO missions as a means for getting European troops to serve American
strategic interests’, even the UK based Centre for European Reform has to conclude
that these ‘French fears about US priorities are not completely unfounded’ (Keohane
2006: 2).
If Paris is wary of
discussing far-reaching policy issues within US-dominated NATO, Washington is
no less cautious about dealing with its European allies outside this thoroughly
controlled framework. No wonder that another venue for transatlantic
get-togethers, namely the official EU-US summits have so far touched only
timidly on security issues. As noted in a Congressional Research Service
Report, ‘US officials are concerned that a wide-ranging or formal strategic
dialogue with the EU could ultimately erode NATO, where the United States has
not only a voice but also a vote’ (Archick 2005: 3). And not only ‘a vote’; as
the editor of the Atlantic Monthly put it: ‘NATO is ours to lead, unlike the
increasingly powerful European Union’ (Kaplan, R.D. 2005). By the same token, he
pointed out the fundamental constraint in EU-NATO relations: ‘Let me be even
clearer about something that policymakers and experts often don't want to be
clear about. NATO and an autonomous European defense force cannot both prosper’
(Kaplan, R.D. 2005). Indeed, NATO as the instrument of US control over Europe
is, by definition, incompatible with European autonomy.
Headquarters and command
One of the focal points of US
concerns has been to torpedo any attempt at establishing a European military
Headquarters and an all-EU chain of command (Larrabee 2004: 59). In fact, due
to ‘skilful British negotiation in the early days of ESDP, when a compromise
was forged that left a specific gap in the chain of command for EU-led military
operations and linked their planning to NATO capabilities’ (Goerens 2006), the
mandate of the EU Military Staff was restricted, from the outset, to strategic
planning.
Consequently, there is no complete and permanent European chain of command, and
no capacity to plan an operation without having recourse to NATO’s planning
capabilities or a national Headquarters. However, this shortcoming is merely
the result of a political choice, and as such has never been set in stone.
Indeed, the so-called
‘Chocolate Summit’ in April 2003 between French, German, Belgian and Luxembourg
leaders put the idea forward in an open and allegedly provocative way. As their
joint declaration stated, ‘we propose to our partners the creation of a nucleus
collective capability for planning and conducting operations for the European
Union’.
The initiative met with massive hostility (at best the timing, one month after
the start of the US invasion of Iraq, was generally considered most
unfortunate, at worst it fuelled already virulent Francophobia in some
Atlanticist circles), and, as usual, was consensually dismissed as a
spectacular failure. For a failure, it was certainly one that its initiators would
gladly repeat any time. In fact, by the end of the same year the long-awaited breakthrough
had been achieved at the all-EU level. The document European Defence: NATO/EU
Consultation, Planning and Operations, adopted by the European Council in December
2003, created the basis for an EU CivMil Cell, which might become, one day, a genuine
EU Headquarters. Of course, it did this in an extremely cautious way, by
sugarcoating the controversial measure with the simultaneous establishment of
an EU cell at SHAPE and the invitation of a NATO liaison team at the EU
Military Staff (to facilitate the conduct of Berlin Plus operations), and by
specifying that for the conduct of autonomous EU military operations the first
option remains the use of national HQs multi-nationalised for the occasion. But
there is, definitely, a possibility of a collective European capacity, even if
it is to be called upon especially when no national HQ is identified, and when
a joint civilian/military response is required. In those cases the EU CivMil
Cell would ‘have responsibility for generating the capacity to plan and run the
operation’ not from a standing HQ but from an Operations Centre rapidly set up
on a case-by-case basis.
In view of the number of
precautions taken, most commentaries anticipated a civilian profile for the new
structure: ‘perhaps the real added value of the Cell’s OpCen would be for it to
be operationalised to oversee and manage civilian crisis management operations
whilst military operations appear most likely to draw upon NATO’s assets and capability
under Berlin Plus arrangements or, in the case of autonomous EU operations, upon
the five identified national HQs’ (Pullinger 2006: 18).
However, it is not what the entire logic of the Cell’s establishment was about.
In fact, the first OpsCenter activation occurred through the EU’s second
specifically military exercise (MILEX 07, from 7 to 15 June 2007) (EU 2007: 5).
Furthermore, the recent agreement on a new chain of command for civilian ESDP
operations, with the establishment of a Civilian Planning and Conduct Capacity
(CPCC) (EU 2007: 6) might also indicate that the OpsCenter is unlikely to be
confined to a solely civilian crisis management role.
Of course, these developments
are not met with universal acclaim. It is not a coincidence that new
counter-propositions are emerging, such as calls for NATO-EU joint planning.
This new ingenious approach aims to strip the Union’s OpsCenter of much of its
substance, while harnessing, to NATO’s benefit, the EU Commission’s
long-coveted civilian resources in an oblique way. According to the director of
the Transatlantic Relations Program at ACUS (Atlantic Council of the United
States), the EU liaison cell at SHAPE and the NATO team at the EU Military
Staff ‘instead of serving merely as liaisons’ should ‘become the beginning of a
modest planning staff’, which ‘should also include representatives from the
European Commission, so that the Commission’s considerable expertise and
resources devoted to reconstruction and development can be included in this
effort’ (Burwell 2006: 94-97).
Berlin Plus and operations
Today the scenario in which
the EU conducts an operation with recourse to NATO assets is implemented on the
basis of the so-called Berlin Plus arrangements.
Their origins go back to the 1996 NATO Ministerial in Berlin, where foreign
ministers agreed to make NATO assets available for EU-led operations. At the
1999 Washington Summit this provision was extended for EU-led crisis management
operations under ESDP, but it was not before December 2002 that the modalities
were approved in a political document called NATO-EU Declaration on ESDP.
Of course, these agreements
do not resolve all questions, far from it. For a start, the Berlin Plus package
has never been made public or transmitted to the national parliaments for
ratification. Even more significantly, the so-called guaranteed access is, by
its nature, hypothetical and as such, subject to the particular situation and
the political will. For Kori Schake, professor at the US Military Academy at
West Point and former director on the National Security Council, ‘[a] real
assurance of availability would mean that the EU’s crisis-management priorities
would take precedence over the other global responsibilities and interests of
the United States. Assured access is a faulty premise even for some NATO
operations, much less for those in which the Unites States is not directly
involved’ (Schake 2003: 117).
Nonetheless, according to the
usual formula reiterated in the EU Presidency reports on ESDP: operational
‘EU-NATO co-operation in the context of the ‘Berlin Plus’ arrangements has
continued to work smoothly and efficiently’. The sentence refers to EU
operations in the Balkans, which so far constitute the textbook cases of Berlin
Plus implementation (Masson 2006), namely Operation Concordia in Macedonia
taking over NATO’s Allied Harmony mission in March 2003 (Vincze 2003) and
Operation Althea launched in December 2004 to replace NATO’s SFOR in
Bosnia-Herzegovina (EU 2007: 16-17). Despite official praises of an exemplary
cooperation between the two organizations, frictions and hurdles were actually
not uncommon before, during and after the launch phase of these operations. As
noted in the NATO Parliamentary Assembly’s latest report, ‘on-the-ground
achievements were not as institutionally seamless as might have been thought.
Indeed, the success of the handover evidently depended heavily on the
commanders on the ground from both organizations, who were forced to
de-conflict what evidently were sometimes unclear and overlapping mandates’
(Shimkus 2007).
Moreover, new operational
configurations may put Berlin Plus under increasing pressure. After the already
mentioned Darfur dispute (Monaco and Gourlay 2005: 3-5), the recently launched
civilian EU mission in Afghanistan (EU 2007: 10-12) and the planned operation
in Kosovo (EU 2007: 12-14) might put EU-NATO arrangements to the test again,
for various reasons. There are, in fact, reports on proposals within the
Alliance to opt for the Berlin Plus scenario even in situations where both
organisations are deployed in the same theatre but conducting different
operations, such as it is and might be the case in Afghanistan and Kosovo. This
view, strongly voiced by Turkey, is ‘based on the claim that since NATO clears
the theatre for an EU police mission to enter, the EU ultimately relies on NATO
assets and capabilities’ (Hofmann and Reynolds 2007: 6). Kosovo could also
create another precedent – as signs of US interest in participating in a
prospective ESDP civilian mission are growing stronger. Washington would
certainly be very attentive to the security needs of American personnel, and
might be tempted to use it as a pretext to define/re-define the respective
authorities of the two organizations in favour of reinforcing NATO oversight.
Capabilities and armaments
Just like in any other
dimension of EU-NATO relations, in the capabilities field too, debates and
actual developments revolve around the issue of European autonomy. As George W.
Bush’s former director on the National Security Council observed; ‘Without having
genuinely autonomous military forces, Europe’s needs are subordinated to US priorities.
The EU is left hostage to the concerns and potential veto of the United States…’
(Schake 2003 : 130). At the level of the units, it is above all the famous
issue of hierarchy and sequencing that re-emerges, while at the level of
equipment, it is the American postulate of non-duplication which is in question.
To sort out these thorny issues, the NATO-EU Capability Group, which met for
the first time in May 2003, is expected to achieve consistency between the
European Capability Action Plan (ECAP)/Capability Development Mechanism (CDM)
and NATO’s Prague Capability Commitment (PCC), as well as between the NRF (NATO
Response Force) and the EU Battlegroups. In fact, at present a coordinated
rotational schedule makes sure that no member’s units will be serving in both
forces simultaneously. It remains, however, unclear which organisation would
have priority in using the forces designated for both of them or whether the
current de-confliction will hold for airlift and other enabling capabilities;
let alone the problem of ‘cream-skimming’ (concern that NATO will cream off the
best forces for its own use, leaving the ESDP with second-rate capacity), or
that of the NRF’s still vague role and functions.
In any case, the new NATO
force is unanimously regarded as ‘the catalyst for transformation’, a
capability modernisation process carried out under the direction and control of
ACT (Allied Command Transformation – one of NATO’s two strategic commands, the
other one being responsible for operations). This is a process based on a paradigm
with, so to speak, a strong American inspiration. Located at Norfolk (in Virginia),
ACT is in the immediate vicinity of the US Joint Forces Command facilities, which
undoubtedly is a practical solution, given that the Supreme Allied Commander of
ACT is at the same time the Commander of United States Joint Forces Command (USJFCOM).
As for the ‘equipment’ part
of the capability development problem, whereas European insufficiencies in
certain key areas are hardly in doubt, the question to be asked when procuring
defence material (besides the technical specifications in the definition of which
it would be preferable to have a say) is to know from where it comes and who is
in control. The issue of control of the availability of the material is closely
related to that of sharing of sovereignty. The project to pool 3 or 4 Boeing
C-17 between 15 Member States of NATO (neither France, nor Germany, nor Great
Britain are part of it) is illustrative of the integrationist approach.
Resistances to it come primarily from two sources.
First, the big countries (those who up to now took
care to preserve, to various degrees, the range of capabilities necessary to
their autonomy of decision-making and action) prefer to keep control over their
assets. In addition, among the small
states, naturally more attracted to common solutions, there are some (i.e.
Belgium) who say that once it comes to sharing sovereignty, it is better be
within a European framework. Indeed, since most European States are also NATO
members, the capabilities they jointly acquire